Erick Erickson, the editor in chief of the website RedState.com, is a serious power in right-wing circles. Speechifying at RedState’s annual gathering is a rite of passage for aspiring Republican politicians, and Mr. Erickson made headlines this year when he disinvited Donald Trump from the festivities.
So it’s worth paying attention to what Mr. Erickson
says. And as you might guess, he doesn’t think highly of President Obama’s
antiterrorism policies.
Still, his response to the attack in Paris was a bit
startling. The French themselves are making a point of staying calm, indeed of going out to
cafes to show that they refuse to be intimidated. But Mr. Erickson declared on his
website that he won’t be going to see the new “Star Wars” movie on
opening day, because “there are no metal detectors at American theaters.”
It’s a bizarre reaction — but when you think about it,
it’s part of a larger pattern. These days, panic attacks after something bad
happens are the rule rather than the exception, at least on one side of the
political divide.
Consider first the reaction to the Paris attacks.
Lightsabers aside, are Mr. Erickson’s fears any sillier than those of the dozens of
governors — almost all Republicans — who want to ban Syrian refugees
from their states?
Mr. Obama certainly thinks they’re being ridiculous; he mocked
politicians who claim that they’re so tough that they could stare
down America’s enemies, but are “scared of widows and orphans.” (He was
probably talking in particular about Chris Christie, who has said that he even
wants to ban young children.) Again, the contrast with France, where President
François Hollande has reaffirmed the nation’s willingness to take in refugees,
is striking.
And it’s pretty hard to find anyone on that side of the
aisle, even among seemingly respectable voices, showing the slightest hint of
perspective. Jeb Bush, the erstwhile establishment candidate, wants to clamp
down on accepting refugees unless “you can prove you’re a
Christian.” The historian Niall Ferguson, a right-wing favorite,
says the Paris attacks were exactly like the sack of Rome by the Goths. Hmm:
Were ancient Romans back in the cafes a few days later?
But we shouldn’t really be surprised, because we’ve seen
this movie before (unless we were too scared to go to the theater). Remember
the great Ebola scare of 2014? The threat of a pandemic, like the threat of a
terrorist attack, was real. But it was greatly exaggerated, thanks in large
part to hype from the same people now hyping the terrorist danger.
What’s more, the supposed “solutions” were similar, too,
in their combination of cruelty and stupidity. Does anyone remember Mr. Trump declaring
that “the plague will start and spread” in America unless we immediately stopped
all plane flights from infected countries? Or the fact that Mitt Romney took a
similar position? As it turned out, public health officials knew what they were
doing, and Ebola quickly came under control — but it’s unlikely that anyone on
the right learned from the experience.
What explains the modern right’s propensity for panic?
Part of it, no doubt, is the familiar point that many bullies are also cowards.
But I think it’s also linked to the apocalyptic mind-set that has developed
among Republicans during the Obama years.
Think about it. From the day Mr. Obama took office, his
political foes have warned about imminent catastrophe. Fiscal crisis!
Hyperinflation! Economic collapse, brought on by the scourge of health
insurance! And nobody on the right dares point out the failure of the promised
disasters to materialize, or suggest a more nuanced approach.
Given this context, it’s only natural that the right
would seize on a terrorist attack in France as proof that Mr. Obama has left
America undefended and vulnerable. Ted Cruz, who has a real chance of becoming
the Republican nominee, goes so far as to declare that the president “does not wish
to defend this country.”
The context also explains why Beltway insiders were so
foolish when they imagined that the Paris attacks would deflate Donald Trump’s
candidacy, that Republican voters would turn to establishment candidates who
are serious about national security.
Who, exactly, are these serious candidates? And why
would the establishment, which has spent years encouraging the base to indulge
its fears and reject nuance, now expect that base to understand the difference
between tough talk and actual effectiveness?
Sure enough, polling since the Paris attack suggests
that Mr. Trump has actually gained ground.
The point is that at this point panic is what the right is all about, and the
Republican nomination will go to whoever can most effectively channel that
panic. Will the same hold true in the general election? Stay tuned.
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